CRSH Blog
Proofs

Draft / v0.3

Prediction Integrity Model

Commit, lock, resolve, and payout sequencing for live prediction markets.

Published
State
Draft
Version
v0.3
Source
src/content/proofs/prediction-integrity-model.mdx
Digest
sha256:030df7d217fadad4a3daa142f192222de5965e18e3b349fc4a299e782ef7e194
Scope
Market state transitions from wager acceptance through resolution audit.
Authors
CRSH Protocol

Claim

Every live market needs a server-authoritative transition path. The client can display state, but it cannot settle state.

Required Sequence

  1. Accept entries only while the market is open.
  2. Lock the market against late writes before the outcome is known.
  3. Resolve the outcome through an auditable event.
  4. Preserve the resolution trail after payout.

Failure Mode

If the UI can imply a bet was accepted after the server lock, the public copy must describe the server lock as the source of truth.